Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000701 0.000797 0.000899 0.001014 0.001141 0.001276 0.001430
2025-08-24 0.000537 0.000667 0.000815 0.000993 0.001201 0.001435 0.001717
2025-08-31 0.000441 0.000583 0.000751 0.000964 0.001221 0.001521 0.001894
2025-09-07 0.000380 0.000531 0.000717 0.000961 0.001266 0.001632 0.002099
2025-09-14 0.000333 0.000490 0.000690 0.000960 0.001307 0.001735 0.002293
2025-09-21 0.000291 0.000449 0.000658 0.000948 0.001332 0.001815 0.002458
2025-09-28 0.000254 0.000410 0.000624 0.000930 0.001345 0.001877 0.002600
2025-10-05 0.000236 0.000397 0.000623 0.000954 0.001412 0.002010 0.002834
2025-10-12 0.000218 0.000382 0.000618 0.000971 0.001470 0.002131 0.003055
2025-10-19 0.000195 0.000356 0.000596 0.000963 0.001490 0.002202 0.003210
2025-10-26 0.000175 0.000332 0.000574 0.000952 0.001506 0.002265 0.003355
2025-11-02 0.000162 0.000319 0.000567 0.000961 0.001550 0.002368 0.003555
2025-11-09 0.000147 0.000302 0.000552 0.000960 0.001579 0.002451 0.003733
2025-11-16 0.000128 0.000276 0.000521 0.000932 0.001567 0.002476 0.003829
2025-11-23 0.000112 0.000252 0.000493 0.000906 0.001556 0.002501 0.003926
2025-11-30 0.000102 0.000239 0.000481 0.000903 0.001579 0.002574 0.004091
2025-12-07 0.000093 0.000227 0.000469 0.000902 0.001605 0.002652 0.004264
2025-12-14 0.000083 0.000212 0.000453 0.000891 0.001614 0.002705 0.004401
2025-12-21 0.000074 0.000197 0.000434 0.000874 0.001613 0.002741 0.004514
2025-12-28 0.000070 0.000195 0.000438 0.000896 0.001675 0.002875 0.004774
2026-01-04 0.000067 0.000191 0.000439 0.000913 0.001728 0.002996 0.005016
2026-01-11 0.000060 0.000180 0.000426 0.000905 0.001740 0.003053 0.005164
2026-01-18 0.000054 0.000169 0.000412 0.000894 0.001747 0.003102 0.005300